Trevor Lawrence led the Jacksonville Jaguars to a 13-4 record in 2025, but his success in 2026 hinges on his receivers' hands. The Jaguars posted a league-high 9.6% drop rate last season, costing Lawrence crucial completions and momentum.
What went wrong in 2025?
The Jaguars' receivers dropped 40 of 417 catchable targets, per Pro Football Focus. Brian Thomas, their WR1, tied for second in the NFL with 10 drops. Parker Washington added seven more. Thomas saw 42 fewer targets than his rookie year, finishing with just 48 catches for 707 yards and two touchdowns.
Why it matters for Trevor Lawrence
Lawrence’s completion percentage stood at just 60.9% in 2025. If receivers had caught half of those drops, he would have been close to 65%. Dropped passes kill drives, momentum, and morale. Despite this, Lawrence produced the best season of his career, earning a PFF passing grade above 80.0 for the first time.
Can the Jaguars turn it around?
The Jaguars' pass catchers combined for 32 receiving touchdowns in 2025, tied for seventh-most in the NFL. They also averaged 11.7 yards per reception and recorded 57 contested catches, both top-10 figures. With Thomas, Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and Travis Hunter, the talent is there. But they must improve their reliability if Lawrence is to reach his full potential.
What’s next for Trevor Lawrence?
Lawrence took a step forward in 2025 under new head coach Liam Coen. Coen’s system requires more patience from the quarterback, and Lawrence slowed his average time to throw to 21st in the league. Despite this progress, he was ranked just 16th in Sports Illustrated’s Top 10 quarterbacks list—a snub for a player on the rise.